Advanced statistical modelling - football data

Completed Posted 4 years ago Paid on delivery
Completed Paid on delivery

I am capturing data relating to in-play football matches from leagues around the world in Excel with the following variables:

Time played (minutes ranging from 60-87 only)

Country

Scoreline (e.g. 0-1)

Subsequent goal scored (yes/no) - a binary outcome

I would like an advanced statistical model building in Excel with the following specification:

1. A user-friendly but sophisticated mathematical model that assesses how the three variables (time, country, scoreline) relate to the binary outcome (a goal) - with a simple mathematical explanation of why this is the case (I need to understand why the model chosen is the best fit for solving this)

2. The ability to assess probability of a goal being scored given certain conditions, expressed in digital odds format, and an assessment of statistical significance of the implied probability

3. The ability for me to manually add more data over time and assess changing probabilities without the need for additional programming support

I am not a mathematician - so you must be able to explain things in easy to understand language. I need to understand why the model works, as well as what it can do. Freelancers must have skills in advanced statistics and mathematics.

Statistics Statistical Analysis Excel Data Science Mathematics

Project ID: #22247166

About the project

34 proposals Remote project Active 4 years ago

Awarded to:

daviddrummond199

Hello! I am a Masters in Data Science Student at Indiana University and have done many projects similar to what you are describing. I have taken advanced coursework in statistical modeling and have tutored people in th More

£350 GBP in 3 days
(3 Reviews)
4.5

34 freelancers are bidding on average £454 for this job

datakillers

Hi! I am good in your required project and I am master degree holder in statistics. Have years of experience of using SPSS and R language for statistical data analysis. You can check my profile for customer satisfac More

£250 GBP in 2 days
(555 Reviews)
8.2
daniyal3214

I can definitely help you with that. I am a professional Financial Analyst, Statistical Analyst and Excel expert holding years of experience in utilizing advance level tools and functions of Excel to develop highly dyn More

£250 GBP in 1 day
(180 Reviews)
7.1
suyashdhoot

Hi I am a very experienced statistician, data scientist and academic writer. I have completed several PhD level thesis projects involving advanced statistical analysis of data. I have worked with data from several comp More

£750 GBP in 7 days
(153 Reviews)
7.2
dinhfreedom

Dear sir. Your project attracted my attention at first glance, because I've extensive experience in statistical analysis and machine/deep learning prediction. I'm really confident about your project, and very eager to More

£500 GBP in 7 days
(63 Reviews)
6.6
writingapp

Hi. I am ready to write your project Write apps on your demand in many languages (Visual Basic, VBA, VBS, .NET, C#, JS, Python, Java, PowerShell) Write database apps including many db formats: MS Access, MS SQL, SQL More

£730 GBP in 7 days
(197 Reviews)
6.4
labiblm

Hi there, It is an interesting idea! I previously did modelled football players injury with their numbers of games and goal scoring. In your case, it appears you need to have some highly predictive models, but as your More

£600 GBP in 15 days
(66 Reviews)
6.7
MartinDudumi

Proper skills. New at this freelancer thing but working for more than 10 years with data, excellent analytical skills and also excellent problem solving. You will be more than satisfied with the results. Experience an More

£333 GBP in 2 days
(46 Reviews)
6.0
Statxn

------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HELLO! As an: - Bachelor of Applied Mathematics - Engineer in Statistics and Applied Economics - Microsoft Office Technician (Microsoft G More

£250 GBP in 4 days
(94 Reviews)
5.9
sparkingboy2010

Hi, I am ready to start right away. I'm an expert in Data Entry. I have reviewed your job description as well and very confident to handle this project perfectly. I understood your all requirements. I have done many More

£250 GBP in 1 day
(70 Reviews)
5.4
mjanchi

Hello there. I have a results from champions league from past 8 seasons in excel prepared for machine learning.

£250 GBP in 1 day
(42 Reviews)
5.4
softsolution2000

Hi let’s discuss the details you shared, I am interested to do all this statistics for you, I have about 10 years of hands on experience working with website development , I can build plugins and customise any plugin a More

£400 GBP in 5 days
(6 Reviews)
5.0
sonarkaushik

Sir,      I am well versed in these kind of jobs and can do your project as per your requirement. I am very much able to work on this. ***I am ready to start Message me for further discussion. Waiting to hear from y More

£250 GBP in 2 days
(44 Reviews)
5.6
alifarrukh786

I ever did football data analysis and it was similar as you are looking for and I have the leagues data as well from my previous work, and may be you not need to collect data as it contains same variables as your, I us More

£250 GBP in 7 days
(38 Reviews)
5.2
soumojit86

I have right skills. A plethora of insights can be drawn from the data. Statistical analysis, dynamic visualization, etc can be a starting point of a vast research. I have a PhD in Operations Research Relevant Skills More

£750 GBP in 10 days
(10 Reviews)
4.0
Saif271

I am a PhD Finance Scholar having almost 11 years of teaching and Research Experience. My area of expertise ranges from developing and organizing complex research models related to finance. I have experience in prov More

£250 GBP in 5 days
(9 Reviews)
4.0
vladislavagapov

Good afternoon! I am Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics, got it from one of the top Canadian grad. schools. I have a few projects of this kind and genuinely interested in creating something really working. I always complete More

£440 GBP in 3 days
(4 Reviews)
3.9
faiiz

Hi Sir I am interrested in this project. My name is Faiz and im a statistician and a professional data scientist, a combination that provides me with the full suite of tools to do data analysis, data modelling and dat More

£251 GBP in 3 days
(10 Reviews)
3.6
diyahutami97

I am a computer scientist. I am Indonesian. I did my master degree in Computer Science at National Central University, Taiwan and Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia. I've done my thesis in face recognition. I'm interes More

£250 GBP in 3 days
(2 Reviews)
2.0
AwaisChaudhry

Hi,. I have gone through the brief details mentioned on the job. I have done multiple jobs with Data Science, Excel, Mathematics, Statistical Analysis, Statistics which are the skills required to get this job done. Let More

£750 GBP in 7 days
(1 Review)
5.1
rickygirard573

I would like to know more about the project and its goals. I learned statistics in College here in Quebec province, till I upgraded as a freelancer. I know a lot about the statistical and mathematical formulas with Ex More

£750 GBP in 7 days
(0 Reviews)
0.0